![]() ![]() We are definitely in a wet pattern! Figure 3: the 5 day precipitation forecast from the GFS and Figure 4: the 10 day precipitation forecast from the GFS and weather5280.On this day in weather history, a storm flooded Hampstead, England. The increased precipitation chances later in the week may give us 1-2 inches of rain over that period (Figure 4). Over the next 5 days, we should see about a quater of an ince of precipitation in Longmont or Broomfield, unless a thunderstorm core hits your neighborhood (Figure 3). Figure 1: the 10 day graphical forecast for Denver from Figure 2: the Day 2 (Monday) SPC forecast for thunderstorms and severe weather. We are quite warm for a few days, then cool as a trough moves in and increases rain chances a lot by Friday (Figure 1). The severe threat moves off to the east a bit (Figure 2), but storms can produce hail and heavy rain and winds for a few minutes at any time (pulse storms - Figure 2). The pattern is for moisture and instability to increase a bit each day for the next 10 days (Figure 1). Keep an eye on the western sky! End Tuesday update: The Forecast Discussion The primary risk is hail and high winds again. The SPC graphic is not yet out today, but we have a Marginal risk of severe weather again today (1 out of 5). ![]() A full update tomorrow! Plenty of moisture and daytime heating plust a favorable upper air pattern means we continue with a good chance of showers for most of the week ahead. My chaperone duties in Washington DC come to an end today. A healthy chance of afternoon thunderstorms and rain through the next 10 days.
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